Bilibili Gaming and Top Esports are set to fight for a ticket to the LPL 2024 Spring finals when they clash in the upper-bracket semis this Thursday.

The two Chinese LoL esports sides last met in the first match of the season, when Bilibili Gaming won 2-1. And according to the LoL betting odds, they should come out ahead again.

Bilibili Gaming ended the LPL 2024 Spring regular season as the clear best team in the league. They managed a 15-1 series record and an absurdly high 86% map win rate, which is a solid testament to how good they are.

Top Esports weren’t too far behind, with a 13-3 series record, but that doesn’t tell the whole story. They have improved significantly throughout the season, and with more than 2,500 gold difference at 20 minutes, they were second to only Bilibili Gaming at nearly 4,000 gold difference at the same time mark.

Comparing other performance metrics, the two teams are very close, but often Bilibili Gaming come out ahead. That includes Dragon (68.2%–61.2%) and Herald (62.9%–62%) control and gold difference per minute (285.5–252.8).

As two of three elite LPL teams, Bilibili Gaming and Top Esports are bound to produce a spectacle. However, even though Bilibili have better numbers entering the match, it’s hard to justify betting on them at the offered price.

Bilibili Gaming are stronger, but they’re not that much stronger. A fairer price would be closer to $1.70 on Bilibili and slightly over even money on Top Esports. So, at $2.37 with GG Bet, we’re getting a generous offer on the outsiders.

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