by www.grivaschess.com’s free esports betting predictions for Thursday focus on three StarCraft II matches at CasterMuse StarLeague Season 4 and two Dota 2 bouts at BTS Pro Series Season 4: Southeast Asia.
CasterMuse StarLeague Season 4
BEST vs GGAEMO SCII BETTING & MATCH DETAILS |
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| SCII Betting Odds: | BeSt $1.28 at GG Bet | ggaemo $3.50 at GG Bet |
| When: | December 17, 2020 at 17:00 KST |
| Watch Live: | AfreecaTV (https://play.afreecatv.com/jsc9905) |
?Doh “BeSt” Jae Wook and Kim “ggaemo” Kyung Mo will clash for the third time in their careers and the first time since January, when ggaemo won 1-0 during CasterMuse StarLeague S2. BeSt enters this match as the odds-on favourite with StarCraft II betting sites, which is not entirely shocking, but the price seems a bit too short for our liking.
BeSt has been struggling for a while, so his implied probability to win (78.1%) is far too high for a best-of-one fixture. That is not to say ggaemo is a better StarCraft II esports player, but he has a strong 60% win rate against Protoss and looks a solid chance to cause an upset.
ggaemo to win
JYJ vs SACSRI SCII BETTING & MATCH DETAILS |
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| SCII Betting Odds: | JyJ $1.57 at GG Bet | Sacsri $2.26 at GG Bet |
| When: | December 17, 2020 at 19:00 KST |
| Watch Live: | AfreecaTV (https://play.afreecatv.com/jsc9905) |
?Jung “JyJ” Young Jae enters this match off a month-long hiatus from the StarCraft II esports scene, which is slightly concerning, but the same can be said for Lee “Sacsri” Yah Hoon, who has only one game on record in the past month. JyJ was last seen competing during the 2020 Star BJ Destruction Season 2: Wild Card tournament in November, when he lost against Sacsri 0-1.
Even though best-of-one results don’t mean much, it would still make more sense for esports bookmakers to offer shorter odds on Sacsri. What’s more, Terran are Sacsri’s best matchup (65.56%), so there is no reason to have him priced above even money.
Sacsri to win
LIGHT vs MOTIVE SCII BETTING & MATCH DETAILS |
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| SCII Betting Odds: | Light $1.22 at GG Bet | Motive $3.67 at GG Bet |
| When: | December 17, 2020 at 19:00 KST |
| Watch Live: | AfreecaTV (https://play.afreecatv.com/jsc9905) |
?Even though Lee “Light” Jae Ho deserves some praise for his 5-4 win against Park “Soma” Sang Hyun last week, he is not playing nearly as solidly as he did in November. And it’s not only his lack of form that concerns us, but also Light’s poor record against Protoss (33.33%).
Light is arguably a better player, but Won “Motive” Seon Jae’s strong Protoss vs Terran record of 65.85% should help reduce the quality gap and allow him to keep this match close. Motive to win at $3.67 is a very good offer and one we can’t pass on.
Motive to win
BTS Pro Series Season 4: Southeast Asia
TNC PREDATOR vs FNATIC DOTA2 BETTING & MATCH DETAILS |
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| Dota 2 Betting Odds: | TNC $1.53 at GG Bet | Fnatic $2.36 at GG Bet |
| When: | December 17, 2020 at 17:00 PHST |
| Watch Live: | Twitch (https://www.twitch.tv/BeyondTheSummit) |
These two sides last met on Tuesday, when TNC Predator swept Fnatic 2-0. It marked their third head-to-head win of the year after a 2-1 triumph in January and a 2-0 sweep during the third season of the BTS Pro Series in September.
Fnatic have been the better team throughout most of the year, and while it may be fair to say TNC have caught up to their rivals, we are not ready to believe the gap is as big as the Dota 2 betting odds suggest. Fnatic were a bit unlucky not to win at least one map against TNC last week, and we believe they can improve on that this Thursday.
Over 2.5 maps
T1 vs TEAM DOG DOTA2 BETTING & MATCH DETAILS |
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| Dota 2 Betting Odds: | T1 $2.33 at GG Bet | Team Dog $1.55 at GG Bet |
| When: | December 17, 2020 at 20:00 PHST |
| Watch Live: | Twitch (https://www.twitch.tv/BeyondTheSummit) |
Team Dog field some of the best players in the scene, including Abed “Abed” Azel L. Yusop and Daryl Koh “iceiceice” Pei Xiang, but their results hardly reflect that. In their defence, they’re a newly formed stack, so some lack of synergy is expected.
Regardless, Team Dog should not be priced at such high odds. In the last three rounds of the tournament, iceiceice and co. forced stalemates against Fnatic, TNC Predator and Motivade.Trust Gaming, which we should rank far higher than T1’s win against Neon Esports and stalemates against Vice Esports and Execration.
We are siding with Team Dog to keep the momentum going and win the series 2-0.
